Navigating The Phoenix Housing Market

Welcome to the official blog of Dominion Group Properties—your trusted resource for real estate news, market analysis, and expert guidance across Phoenix, Scottsdale, North Phoenix, Cave Creek, Carefree, and Anthem. Whether you're a home buyer, seller, investor, or planning a relocation within the Valley, our blog delivers timely content to keep you informed.

What We Cover

  • Local Market Trends & Housing Reports: Stay updated with monthly insights on inventory, pricing, and market shifts in Phoenix and the North Valley.
  • Home Buying & Selling Strategies: From financing manufactured homes to pricing historic properties, our articles cover every step of the process.
  • Community & Development News: Learn about upcoming neighborhoods like Desert Hills, emerging job centers, and how primed areas are shaping investment opportunities.
  • Property Management & Landlord Tips: Make informed decisions whether you're leasing, investing, or managing a residential property in Arizona.

Why Our Blog Stands Out

  • Content anchored in real-world market data and local expertise across Phoenix Metro and surrounding regions.
  • Written and curated by Jonathan Baer—broker, licensed loan officer, and real estate advisor with over 30 years’ experience and $240 million in closed transactions in Maricopa County.
  • Blog topics tailored for actionable insights, whether flipping a home in Cave Creek, planning a move to Anthem, or financing a manufactured home in Phoenix.

Bookmark this page and check back regularly for fresh updates, expert commentary, and smart strategies for navigating Arizona’s dynamic real estate market.

About the Author:
Jonathan Baer, Designated Broker and Real Estate Wealth Advisor at Dominion Group Properties, has completed over 1,000 transactions worth more than $240 million across Arizona.

 

Learn More About Jonathan Baer

March 14, 2026

tsmc-real-estate-north-phoenix

 

 

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5 Best Neighborhoods for TSMC Employees Moving to Phoenix

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


Where TSMC Employees Should Live in Phoenix

The arrival of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company in Phoenix has triggered one of the largest economic expansions in Arizona’s recent history. Thousands of engineers, technicians, and corporate professionals are now relocating to Phoenix for TSMC, creating major demand in the housing market.

For professionals evaluating TSMC Phoenix homes, location matters. Commute time, neighborhood amenities, long-term property value, and lifestyle all play a role when deciding where to settle.

The good news is that north Phoenix semiconductor housing options are expanding rapidly, with several neighborhoods emerging as top choices for TSMC employees.

Below are five communities that offer convenient access to the semiconductor campus, strong housing demand, and a lifestyle many professionals relocating to Arizona are seeking.

1. Desert Ridge

A Popular Choice for TSMC Arizona Real Estate Buyers

Desert Ridge consistently ranks among the most desirable communities for professionals entering the TSMC Arizona real estate market.

Located in northeast Phoenix near Loop 101, Desert Ridge provides easy access to major highways that connect directly to the semiconductor manufacturing corridor.

Why TSMC employees choose Desert Ridge

  • Close access to Loop 101 and Interstate 17
  • High demand for newer residential properties
  • Walkable shopping at Desert Ridge Marketplace
  • Numerous restaurants and entertainment venues
  • Nearby healthcare and employment hubs

Desert Ridge appeals especially to buyers relocating from larger metropolitan tech markets who prefer a neighborhood offering both convenience and lifestyle amenities.

2. Norterra

One of the Closest Communities to TSMC

Norterra sits directly along Interstate 17 and is one of the most convenient areas for north Phoenix semiconductor housing.

Many new home developments have been built in this area over the last decade, making it particularly attractive for buyers seeking modern construction.

Norterra housing highlights

  • Short commute to the semiconductor plant
  • Master-planned communities with new homes
  • Access to The Shops at Norterra retail district
  • Outdoor recreation nearby in the Sonoran Desert
  • Growing interest from tech professionals

For engineers or executives searching for TSMC Phoenix homes, Norterra provides one of the most efficient commute options available.

3. Anthem

Spacious Living for Professionals and Families

Anthem sits just north of Phoenix and remains one of the most established master-planned communities in the region.

Buyers exploring TSMC Arizona real estate often consider Anthem because it offers larger homes and a strong community atmosphere.

What makes Anthem attractive

  • Large residential properties and quiet streets
  • Extensive parks and recreation facilities
  • Highly rated schools
  • Scenic desert mountain surroundings
  • Strong long-term property demand

Professionals relocating to Phoenix for TSMC frequently choose Anthem when they want more living space while still maintaining a reasonable commute.

4. Tramonto

Scenic Desert Living Near the Semiconductor Corridor

Tramonto is located at the northern edge of Phoenix along Interstate 17 and offers stunning desert landscapes combined with easy freeway access.

This community attracts buyers searching for north Phoenix semiconductor housing in a quieter setting.

Tramonto neighborhood advantages

  • Beautiful mountain and desert views
  • Community pools and parks
  • Easy access to major commuting routes
  • Competitive home prices compared to central Phoenix
  • Access to hiking trails and outdoor recreation

For many TSMC professionals, Tramonto provides a peaceful environment without sacrificing accessibility to employment centers.

5. Stetson Valley

A Quiet North Phoenix Neighborhood with Growing Demand

Stetson Valley is a residential community surrounded by desert preserves and mountain trails.

While slightly more tucked away than other areas, it has become increasingly popular among buyers looking for TSMC Phoenix homes.

Why Stetson Valley stands out

  • Modern homes with open floor plans
  • Quiet residential streets
  • Proximity to outdoor recreation areas
  • Convenient highway access
  • Increasing demand from technology professionals

This neighborhood offers a strong balance between natural surroundings and urban convenience.

TSMC Phoenix Homes: Neighborhood Comparison Guide

Neighborhood Commute to TSMC Housing Type Lifestyle
Desert Ridge 25–30 min Modern homes Urban lifestyle
Norterra 15–20 min New developments Retail and dining
Anthem 15–20 min Larger homes Family-oriented
Tramonto 10–15 min Desert communities Outdoor recreation
Stetson Valley 25–30 min Quiet suburbs Scenic surroundings

Why North Phoenix Is Becoming a Semiconductor Housing Hub

The expansion of the semiconductor industry in Phoenix is transforming the regional housing market. TSMC’s presence has accelerated demand for homes throughout the northern corridor of the city.

Phoenix already hosts several major industries, including technology, healthcare, and manufacturing. Employers such as Intel Corporation, Honeywell Aerospace, and Banner Health contribute to the region’s strong economic foundation.

As the semiconductor sector continues expanding, communities near the manufacturing campus are expected to remain highly attractive for buyers and investors.

Tips for Buying a Home Near the TSMC Campus

Professionals entering the TSMC Arizona real estate market should consider several factors before purchasing property.

Key considerations

Commute distance
Daily travel time can vary significantly depending on neighborhood location.

Future development
New infrastructure and housing projects are being planned around the semiconductor corridor.

Property value growth
Areas closest to major employers often experience strong long-term appreciation.

Lifestyle preferences
Some buyers prioritize walkable amenities, while others prefer larger homes and quieter communities.

Working with a knowledgeable real estate agent or real estate consultant can help buyers analyze listings, evaluate market trends, and navigate contracts effectively.

Frequently Asked Questions

What neighborhoods are closest to the TSMC Phoenix plant?
Norterra, Desert Ridge, Tramonto, Anthem, and Stetson Valley are among the most convenient residential areas for employees working at the semiconductor facility.

Is the housing market growing near TSMC?
Yes. Demand for north Phoenix semiconductor housing has increased due to job growth and relocation activity tied to the semiconductor industry.

Is Phoenix a good place to buy property for tech professionals?
Phoenix offers a growing technology sector, strong infrastructure, and expanding employment opportunities, which make it attractive for long-term property ownership.

Find the Right Home Near TSMC

For buyers exploring TSMC Phoenix homes, expert guidance can make the search significantly easier.

Dominion Group Properties has decades of experience helping buyers navigate the Phoenix housing market and identify neighborhoods that match their goals and lifestyle.

Dominion Group Properties
703 E. Carefree Highway #113
Phoenix, AZ 85085
(866) 694-6946
www.dgpaz.com

With deep local insight and a personalized approach, the team helps professionals relocating to Arizona confidently find the right home.

March 12, 2026

Phoenix Housing Market Update – March 2026 | Dominion Group Properties

March 2026 Navigating the Phoenix Housing Market BlogNavigating the Phoenix Housing Market – March 2026

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


The Difference Between Sold and Sitting

Let me start with a simple truth…

Right now in the Phoenix housing market, the difference between a home that sells and one that sits there collecting dust is razor thin.

And I mean thin.

Buyers are out there. Homes are still selling. But interest rates are still reminding everyone that money actually costs money again. And when that happens? Buyers get picky. Really picky.

You following me?

This month’s theme is simple: if you’re selling, you need to be priced right on the nose. Not close. Not hopeful. Not “let’s see what happens.”

Right. On. The. Nose.

What the Numbers Are Saying

According to the latest Cromford Report and ARMLS data, here’s where the Phoenix metro market stands as of March 1, 2026 compared to March 1, 2025:

  • Active Listings (excluding UCB & CCBS): 25,502 — up 6.6% year over year and up 3.7% from last month
  • Active Listings (including UCB & CCBS): 29,341 — up 7.2% year over year and up 5.1% from last month
  • Pending Listings: 4,881 — down 2.9% year over year but up 15% from last month
  • Under Contract Listings (including Pending, CCBS & UCB): 8,720 — up 2.9% year over year and up 15% from last month
  • Monthly Sales: 5,870 — up 1.0% year over year and up 21% from last month
  • Average Sales Price Per Square Foot: $314.43 — up 0.9% year over year
  • Median Sales Price: $450,000 — down 2.0% from last year but up 0.7% from last month

Now, if you’ve been around real estate for more than five minutes, those numbers tell a pretty clear story.

Inventory kept growing during February, but not with the same enthusiasm we saw in January. That tells me we’re either at the top for active listings, or close enough to smell it.

Pending listings look a little soft, but the total number of homes under contract is still up 2.9% from this time last year. That also tells us more agents are using UCB and CCBS instead of just marking things pending. Translation? The market’s moving… just not exactly with fireworks.

Something Else Is Still Holding Buyers Back

Here’s the odd part. Mortgage rates in 2026 are more tempting than they were in 2025, yet we’re not seeing some huge wave of buyer enthusiasm.

Why?

Because buyers are still dealing with economic uncertainty, higher monthly payments than they’d like, and a general sense that nobody wants to make an expensive mistake. Fair enough.

So yes, lower rates have brought a few more buyers into the market. But they’ve also brought out a few more sellers. Which means the balance between supply and demand hasn’t dramatically shifted.

That’s why pricing matters so much right now.

Not theoretically. Practically.

Buyers are cautious. They comparison shop. They hesitate. They negotiate harder. And if your house is overpriced, they don’t send flowers or apology notes. They just move on to the next listing.

No drama. No negotiation. Just… next.

Phoenix Is Not One Market

This is where people get themselves into trouble. They hear one headline about “the Phoenix market” and assume it applies everywhere from Central Phoenix to the far edges of the Valley.

It doesn’t.

The average price per square foot is still being supported by strong sales in the high-end market. Luxury properties and homes in stronger close-in locations are holding up better. But the median sales price being down 2% tells us the lower-end and mid-range markets are softer.

And the outer areas? In many of those neighborhoods, supply now comfortably exceeds demand.

That’s where sellers need to stop fantasizing and start positioning.

If you’re farther from Central Phoenix or Scottsdale, or you’re in a price range where buyers are especially payment-sensitive, you need to be even more disciplined. Perception is reality and reality is perception.

The New Reality for Sellers

I’ve been doing this since 1993. I’ve seen hot markets, cold markets, weird markets, and markets that looked like they were assembled by sleep-deprived interns.

This one, honestly, makes sense.

Homes that are well priced and well positioned are still selling.

Homes priced based on wishful thinking, last spring’s numbers, or a neighbor’s delusion? Those sit.

Then come the price reductions. Then the stale-market smell. Then buyers start circling like they just found weakness in the herd.

And trust me — that’s not where you want to be.

Jonathan’s Truth Bomb

Here it is: in today’s Phoenix housing market, the margin between selling and not selling is tight.

So if you’re a seller, you need to be priced right on the nose from day one.

Not almost right. Not “let’s leave room to negotiate.” Not “let’s try high and see what happens.” I can’t stand wasting time.

The right price gets attention. Attention gets showings. Showings get offers.

The wrong price gets silence.

So what answer would you like — a lie or the truth?

Homes are still selling. But positioning and pricing remain everything.

That’s the truth.


If you want an honest read on where your home fits in this market, learn more about Jonathan Baer’s approach as a real estate wealth advisor.

You can also see the latest Maricopa County housing market trends or browse the latest homes for sale in Phoenix and beyond.

Want to chat about your home’s value? Schedule a quick call at https://jb2.youcanbook.me.

Knowledge, Love, and Patience. That’s why I’m here.

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Feb. 14, 2026

Phoenix Housing Market Update February 2026

 

 

Navigating the Phoenix Housing Market Update Feb 2026

 

Phoenix Housing Market Update – February 2026: More Choices, Same Reality

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


Something interesting is happening in Phoenix, Arizona right now.

No, the sky isn’t falling. And no, we’re not in some secret crash that only shows up on YouTube thumbnails.

Supply is up. Pricing is stable. And buyers suddenly have options again.

If you’re buying or selling in Maricopa County, this matters. A lot.

Inventory Is Up — But Prices Aren’t Dropping

According to the Cromford Report, active listings have continued to rise across the Greater Phoenix area. Buyers now have breathing room. They can compare. They can hesitate. They can even — gasp — negotiate.

But here’s the key: overall pricing has remained relatively stable.

We’re not seeing fire-sale pricing. We’re not seeing dramatic appreciation either. What we’re seeing is balance.

And balance feels strange after the last few years, doesn’t it?

Sellers: Condition Matters More Than Ever

This is where the separation is happening.

Completely remodeled homes? They’re moving quickly. Buyers will still pay for turnkey. They don’t want projects. They want clean, updated, and done.

Homes that are “refreshed”… or let’s just say “original but well loved”? They’re sitting longer.

Not because they’re bad homes. Because buyers now have choices.

And when supply rises, comparison shopping kicks in hard.

This is where pricing strategy becomes everything. You must understand where your home stacks up against the competition in your neighborhood — not where you hope it stacks up.

Perception is reality and reality is perception.

If your home looks dated next to a fully remodeled property down the street, the market will price that difference for you. Fair enough?

If you’re unsure where you truly stand, learn more about Jonathan Baer’s approach as a real estate wealth advisor and how we position homes strategically from day one.

Buyers: Yes, There Are Deals — But No Fire Sales

Now let’s talk to buyers.

You’ve got more supply. That’s good news.

You can negotiate a bit more on homes that need cosmetic updates. Dated kitchens. Original flooring. Paint colors from 2003 (we’ve all seen them).

There are small opportunities there.

But let’s be clear — there are no widespread “panic discounts.” Sellers who are priced correctly are holding firm, especially on updated homes.

This isn’t a distressed market. It’s a selective market.

If you want a fully remodeled home in Scottsdale, Cave Creek, or North Phoenix, expect competition. If you’re willing to improve a home yourself, you may capture some value.

You can browse the latest homes for sale in Phoenix and beyond here to see exactly what I’m talking about.

The February Reality Check

Here’s the truth.

Supply is rising. Pricing is stable. Buyers are picky. Sellers must be patient.

The days of throwing a sign in the yard and hoping for 14 offers over asking? Those are behind us for now.

Today requires Prior, Proper, Planning, Prevents, Piss, Poor, Performance.

That applies to both sides of the transaction.

If you’re selling, know your competition and price accordingly.

If you’re buying, recognize value — but don’t wait for a crash that isn’t showing up in the data.

You can also see the latest Maricopa County housing market trends here if you want to dig into the numbers.

Jonathan’s February Takeaway

This is not a hot market. It’s not a cold market.

It’s a thinking market.

Strategy wins right now. Condition wins. Pricing discipline wins.

And patience? That’s back in style.

If you want to talk through where your home stands — or whether a specific property is truly a deal — schedule a quick call at https://jb2.youcanbook.me/.

Let’s make smart moves. Not emotional ones.

Jan. 9, 2026

Phoenix Housing Market 2026 Outlook | Jonathan Baer

A New Day for the Phoenix Real Estate Market

 

A New Year, a New Market Reality: Phoenix Housing Outlook for 2026

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


So… is 2026 going to be better than 2025?

That’s the question I’ve been hearing everywhere lately — from kitchen tables in Cave Creek to coffee shops in North Phoenix. Fair question. 2025 wasn’t exactly a victory lap.

Here’s the good news: as we roll into January, the housing market in Phoenix, Arizona and across Maricopa County is showing more stability than most people expected. Not fireworks. Not hysteria. Just… healthier footing. And honestly? I’ll take that all day.

January is always a leading indicator month. It doesn’t lie. And the early signals suggest we’re starting 2026 with a more grounded, realistic market — for both buyers and sellers. You following me?

What Actually Happened at the End of 2025

We finished 2025 stronger than forecasted, but not because buyers suddenly went wild. The real story was inventory.

A meaningful number of listings quietly disappeared — expired or canceled — which tightened supply without a surge in demand. Translation? Sellers tapped out, took a breather, and said, “Let’s revisit this after the holidays.”

The expectation now? Many of those sellers will reappear in January, testing buyer patience, pricing tolerance, and overall market confidence early in the year. Buckle up — politely.

Buyers Are Back… But Smarter

Buyers didn’t vanish in 2025 — they recalibrated. And now, with mortgage rates lower than much of last year, expectations have reset.

Instead of sitting on the sidelines waiting for 3% rates (spoiler: that ship sailed), buyers are engaging with today’s reality. They’re realistic. They’re prepared. And yes… they’re actually writing contracts again.

Homes priced around the $500,000 range should see improved activity — both in sales and fresh inventory. Pricing? Relatively stable out of the gate. Fewer dramatic discounts. More acceptance of where the market actually is.

Perception is reality and reality is perception.

Market Snapshot: January 1, 2026 vs. January 1, 2025

Source: The Cromford Report (ARMLS numbers), all areas and property types.

Inventory

Active Listings (excluding UCB & CCBS):
22,248 vs. 20,007 last year (+12%)
↓ 9.0% from last month

Active Listings (including UCB & CCBS):
24,837 vs. 22,196 last year (+12%)
↓ 10.3% from last month

Supply declined steadily throughout December, finishing the year down roughly 10% from late November. That said, inventory remains 12% higher than at the start of 2025, meaning buyers still have meaningful choices across most price ranges. A notable influx of new listings is expected over the next 12 weeks, particularly from homes that were recently canceled or expired.

Demand & Contracts

Pending Listings:
3,373 vs. 3,307 last year (+2.0%)
↓ 19% from last month

Under Contract Listings (Pending + UCB + CCBS):
5,782 vs. 5,496 last year (+5.2%)
↓ 20% from last month

December’s strong closing pace reduced the number of homes under contract heading into January. Even so, contract activity remains higher than this time last year, which we view as a positive signal.

Sales & Pricing

Monthly Sales:
6,374 vs. 5,576 last year (+14%)
↑ 18% from November

Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft.:
$303.80 vs. $302.98 last year (+0.3%)
↑ 2.4% month-over-month

Median Sales Price:
$455,000 vs. $450,000 last year (+1.1%)
↑ 1.1% from November

December was a surprisingly strong month for closings. While luxury homes dominated the first half of the month, more affordable properties gained traction toward year-end. With 22 working days in December 2025 (one more than December 2024), the month had a slight calendar advantage — but even adjusting for that, closings were up over 14%, making December a clear win.

Luxury sales temporarily pushed the average $/SF higher, but overall price appreciation for the year remained modest. Median prices were essentially flat, ending just $5,000 higher year-over-year, reinforcing market stability rather than exuberance.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

Buyers

More choices than early 2025, stable pricing, and slightly improved affordability thanks to household incomes rising faster than home prices.

Sellers

Conditions are improving compared to much of last year, but pricing discipline matters. Homes that are well-prepared and correctly priced should perform far better than those chasing yesterday’s numbers.

The Cromford Market Index is trending back toward the balanced range (90–110), signaling a healthier, more functional market.

The Bottom Line

Greater Phoenix metropolitan area has outperformed low expectations since October. January will determine whether that momentum holds. The next few weeks will reveal:

  • How many sidelined sellers return
  • Whether demand strengthens as rates remain lower than most of 2025
  • If inventory growth stays manageable

For now, things look good for buyers — and better for sellers than they’ve seen in quite some time. But as always, January will tell the real story for 2026.


Want the truth about your situation — not a sales pitch?

Schedule a quick call

Meet Jonathan Baer, Designated Broker of Dominion Group Properties  |  Browse the latest homes for sale in Phoenix and beyond  |  Check the current Phoenix housing market report

Dec. 18, 2025

ADRE Advertising Rule Changes: Immediate Compliance Required Effective December 13, 2025

ADRE Advertising Rule Changes: Immediate Compliance Required

Effective December 13, 2025

By Jonathan Baer, Designated Broker – Dominion Group Properties


The Arizona Department of Real Estate (ADRE) has adopted significant revisions to its advertising rules, effective December 13, 2025. These changes materially expand broker responsibility, tighten disclosure requirements, and directly impact how every agent advertises real estate services in Arizona.

This article outlines the key rule changes and the actions required of all agents effective immediately. Formal updates to brokerage policies and procedures will be issued within the next week, but agents must begin complying with these requirements now.

Failure to do so exposes both the agent and the brokerage to disciplinary action.

1. Broker Responsibility for All Advertising

Rule: R4-28-502(G)

The revised rule shifts the broker’s role from merely supervising advertising to being fully responsible for all advertising conducted by the brokerage and its licensees.

What this means:

  • Liability exposure for the brokerage has increased.
  • Advertising oversight, approvals, and documentation requirements will become more structured.
  • Informal or unreviewed advertising will no longer be acceptable.

Agents should expect more defined approval workflows and stricter enforcement moving forward.

2. Broker Name Required on All Digital Advertising — No Scrolling

Rules: R4-28-502(K) and R4-28-502(E)

Any advertising in an electronic medium—including but not limited to websites, social media posts and videos, AI-generated content, and digital ads targeting Arizona consumers—must clearly display the employing broker’s legal or DBA name without requiring scrolling.

Key compliance points:

  • The broker name must be visible immediately.
  • In video content, the broker name must remain on-screen for the entire duration.
  • This applies to reels, stories, overlays, landing pages, email signatures, and similar formats.

3. Broker Name Required Even Without a Property Being Advertised

Rule: R4-28-502(J)

Under the new rules, any advertising targeting Arizona residents for real estate services requires the broker name, even if no specific property is mentioned.

This includes:

  • General branding or awareness campaigns
  • Market updates
  • “Thinking about selling?” posts
  • Farming materials
  • Lead generation advertisements

Generic advertising is no longer exempt.

4. Written Owner Consent and Mandatory Removal Upon Request

Rule: R4-28-502(I)

Agents must:

  • Obtain written consent before advertising a property or placing signage.
  • Promptly remove all advertising upon the owner’s request.

This includes:

  • Signs
  • Online listings
  • Social media posts
  • Website content

Agents are required to document removal efforts and note situations where full removal is not possible (e.g., print publications or third-party aggregators).

5. Expanded Owner/Agent Disclosure Requirements

Rule: R4-28-502(B)

Disclosure requirements now extend beyond advertising one’s own property. If the seller or owner of a property is a licensed real estate agent, all advertising must clearly disclose “owner/agent”. This applies even when advertising another licensee’s property outside the brokerage.

6. Advertising Properties Outside Your Personal Transaction History

Rule: R4-28-502(F)

When advertising properties not personally listed or sold by the agent (e.g., IDX displays, team ads, rankings), advertising must disclose:

  • That the properties are not representative of the agent’s personal transaction history, and
  • Information regarding the actual listing agent’s transactions.

Note: Arizona REALTORS® has requested clarification on the specific data required. Until further guidance is issued, brokerage compliance policies may limit or standardize how these advertisements are handled.

7. Advertising Reflects on the Broker and Management

Rules: R4-28-304(B) and R4-28-502(G)

While brokers remain fully liable, delegated branch managers and supervisors also share responsibility for advertising compliance.

Agents should expect:

  • Increased oversight
  • Formalized enforcement
  • Progressive discipline for noncompliance

Required Agent Actions — Effective Immediately

All agents must now:

  • Include the broker name clearly and prominently on all advertising
  • Eliminate generic advertising that does not identify the broker
  • Obtain and retain written owner consent prior to advertising
  • Maintain documentation of consent and ad removal
  • Disclose “owner/agent” when applicable
  • Use caution with IDX and non-owned property advertising, including required disclosures

Policy Updates Forthcoming

Dominion Group Properties will issue updated policies and procedures within the next week addressing:

  • Advertising approvals
  • Digital and social media requirements
  • Documentation and record retention
  • Managerial responsibilities
  • Enforcement and disciplinary standards

These updates will formalize expectations already required under ADRE rules.

Final Reminder

These rules are not optional and are not delayed pending policy updates. Compliance is required now.

If you have questions about whether an advertisement complies, do not publish it until clarification is obtained.

Adherence protects you, the brokerage, and the public we serve.


Source: Arizona Department of Real Estate advertising rule changes effective December 13, 2025.

Posted in Broker / Agent
Dec. 18, 2025

New FinCEN Real Estate Reporting Rules in Arizona — What Buyers, Sellers & LLCs Need to Know

New FinCEN Reporting Requirements for Certain Real Estate Transfers — What Arizona Buyers & Sellers Need to Know (Effective March 1, 2026)

By Jonathan Baer, Designated Broker | Dominion Group Properties


Beginning March 1, 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) will implement new reporting requirements that affect certain residential real estate transfers. These changes are designed to increase transparency in specific types of transactions and will be relevant to some buyers, sellers, investors, and real estate professionals here in Phoenix, Maricopa County, and across Arizona.

While the rule does not apply to most traditional, bank-financed residential transactions, it is important for anyone involved in non-financed purchases using LLCs or trusts to understand how the new requirements work and when they may apply.

Why Is FinCEN Implementing This Rule?

FinCEN is responsible for combating money laundering and other illicit financial activity. The agency has identified certain real estate transactions—particularly all-cash or non-financed purchases involving legal entities or trusts—as higher risk because ownership can sometimes be obscured.

The goal of the new rule is simple: to improve transparency around who ultimately owns and controls residential real estate in these limited situations.

What Transactions Trigger the Reporting Requirement?

A FinCEN Real Estate Report must be filed only when all three of the following conditions are met:

1. The Property Is U.S. Residential Real Estate

This includes single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, cooperatives, and certain vacant land intended for residential development.

2. The Transfer Is Non-Financed

The transaction does not involve a traditional mortgage or loan from a financial institution subject to federal anti-money-laundering requirements. Examples include:

  • All-cash purchases
  • Private or hard-money loans
  • Seller financing

3. The Buyer Is an Entity or a Trust

The rule applies when title is taken by an LLC, corporation, partnership, or most trusts. Purchases by individuals in their personal names are not subject to this reporting requirement.

Who Is Responsible for Filing the Report?

FinCEN places the reporting obligation on the designated “reporting person,” which is typically the settlement agent, title company, escrow officer, or closing attorney involved in the transaction.

These professionals may use third-party service providers to prepare and submit the report, and those providers may charge a fee. Buyers and sellers should be made aware of this early in the escrow process.

When Does the Rule Take Effect?

Although initially scheduled to begin in late 2025, FinCEN has extended the effective date. The reporting requirements will now apply to covered transactions closing on or after:

March 1, 2026

This extension gives real estate professionals, buyers, and sellers additional time to prepare and adjust procedures.

Common Situations That May Trigger Reporting

Examples of transactions that may require a FinCEN Real Estate Report include:

  • Deeding a home into an LLC for estate planning or investment purposes without bank financing
  • Purchasing a property with private funds and titling it in the name of a trust
  • Acquiring real estate using seller financing or alternative lending where the buyer is an entity

These transactions are common and lawful, but they may now require additional reporting.

Exemptions and Important Considerations

The rule contains several exemptions and technical exceptions. Certain transfers related to death, divorce, court orders, or transfers for no consideration to certain trusts may be excluded. Some highly regulated entities and specific trust structures are also exempt.

Because these exemptions are detailed, buyers and sellers should consult with title, escrow, and legal professionals to determine whether a specific transaction is reportable.

What This Means for Arizona Buyers, Sellers, and Agents

If you or your clients are buying, selling, or transferring property into an LLC or trust—particularly without traditional bank financing—it is important to raise this topic early in the transaction.

Proactive communication with escrow and title professionals will help ensure compliance with the new rule, avoid unnecessary delays, and clarify any costs or documentation requirements well before closing.

Additional Resources

  • FinCEN Residential Real Estate Rule Overview — FinCEN.gov
  • FinCEN Real Estate Report FAQs — FinCEN.gov
  • Baird Holm: FinCEN Residential Real Estate Reporting Explained

If you have questions about how these new requirements may apply to a future transaction, or if you are planning a purchase or transfer involving an LLC or trust, early guidance can make the process smoother.

To discuss a specific situation, you can learn more about Jonathan Baer’s approach as a real estate advisor or schedule a brief call at https://jb2.youcanbook.me .

Posted in Broker / Agent
Dec. 16, 2025

Phoenix Rent vs. Buy: Why the Math Is Shifting Back Toward Homeownership

Renting vs Owning in Phoenix

Renting in Phoenix Made Sense… Until It Didn’t

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


I’ll say it out loud — because pretending otherwise would be silly.

For the last few years in Phoenix, it was often financially smarter to rent than to buy.
Yep. I said it. (Relax… keep reading.)

Higher interest rates, rapidly rising prices, and bidding wars that felt like a reality TV show made renting the more logical move for a lot of buyers. And honestly? That wasn’t wrong.

But here’s the thing about markets — they change. And right now, in Phoenix and across Maricopa County, the math is quietly shifting back in favor of buying.

You following me?

What Changed? Rates, Prices… and Reality

Recent research from the National Association of Realtors highlights a growing number of U.S. markets where monthly mortgage payments are competing with — and in some cases beating — rent.

Phoenix isn’t magically “cheap” again, but here’s what has changed:

  • Interest rates have eased from their highs
  • Home prices have stabilized instead of sprinting upward
  • Sellers are negotiating again (remember that?)

Meanwhile, rents — while currently stable and even slightly deflationary in spots — are doing what rents always do long term.

They go up.

Landlords don’t offer 30-year fixed leases. They offer one-year reminders that you’re paying someone else’s mortgage.

The Quiet Advantage of Buying Right Now

This is the part most renters miss.

When you lock in a 30-year fixed mortgage, you’re doing three powerful things at once:

  1. You’re stabilizing your housing payment
  2. You’re forcing yourself to save through equity
  3. You’re positioning yourself for long-term wealth

Rent feels flexible — until it isn’t. Ownership feels expensive — until time does what time always does.

Perception is reality and reality is perception.

Right now, the perception is that renting is “safer.” The reality? Buying during a stable pricing window with lower rates is often how wealth quietly starts.

Phoenix Buyers Have a Short Window (Yes, Really)

Here’s my honest, no-BS take as someone who’s been doing this since 1993:

Rent softness is temporary.
Stable home pricing is temporary.
Lower rates — also temporary.

This overlap doesn’t last forever.

Once rates drop further or buyer confidence snaps back (and it always does), competition returns, pricing pressure follows, and this calm little window closes.

If you want to see what’s actually happening right now — not headlines, not opinions — take a look at the current Phoenix and Maricopa County market data. The numbers tell the story clearly.

Renting vs. Buying: The Long Game

I’ll be blunt — because I can’t stand wasting time.

Rent is not a strategy. It’s a convenience.

Homeownership, with a fixed payment and time on your side, is one of the most reliable forced-savings plans ever invented. Not flashy. Not exciting. Just effective.

You don’t build wealth writing rent checks.
You build wealth letting inflation work for you while your loan balance stays the same.

Respect all, fear none — especially short-term noise.

The Takeaway (Here’s the Truth Bomb)

For a while, renting in Phoenix made financial sense.

That chapter is ending.

If you’re waiting for the “perfect” rate or the “perfect” price, you’ll probably miss the perfectly reasonable opportunity sitting in front of you right now.

Knowledge, Love, and Patience. That’s why I’m here.

If you want a straight-talk conversation — no pressure, no sales pitch — about whether buying now makes sense for you, learn more about my role as a real estate advisor and consultant.

So what answer would you like — a lie or the truth?

Want to talk it through? Schedule a quick call here:
https://jb2.youcanbook.me/

 

Dec. 16, 2025

Phoenix Housing Market Update – December 2025 | Inventory & Prices

 

 

 

Phoenix Housing Market Update – December 2025 | Inventory & Prices
December 2025 Market Update

Phoenix Housing Market Update – December 2025

Inventory is pulling back, demand is improving, and pricing is holding up as we head toward early 2026.

By Jonathan Baer • Dominion Group Properties

As we move toward year-end, the Greater Phoenix housing market is looking healthier than many expected three months ago. After a disappointing spring and summer, the latest ARMLS/Cromford reporting suggests the market has returned to a more balanced posture: supply has pulled back while demand has improved.

Market Snapshot (ARMLS): December 1, 2025 vs. December 1, 2024

Active Listings (excluding UCB & CCBS) 24,653 vs. 21,593 — up 14% YoY, down 5.0% from last month
Active Listings (including UCB & CCBS) 27,701 vs. 24,178 — up 15% YoY, down 4.7% from last month
Pending Listings 4,143 vs. 3,808 — up 8.8% YoY, down 2.5% from last month
Under Contract (Pending + CCBS + UCB) 7,191 vs. 6,393 — up 12% YoY, down 2.1% from last month
Monthly Sales 5,389 vs. 5,146 — up 4.7% YoY, down 12.7% from last month
Average Sales Price per Sq. Ft. $294.79 vs. $290.09 — up 1.6% YoY, up 0.4% from last month
Median Sales Price $450,000 vs. $445,000 — up 1.1% YoY, unchanged from last month
What This Means More stability for pricing, and improving conditions heading into early 2026

Notes: UCB = Under Contract Backups. CCBS = contract/coming-soon statuses as reported in ARMLS/Cromford summaries.

Inventory Pulled Back — Good News for Remaining Sellers

We saw a sharp turnaround in supply between October and November thanks to more listing expirations and more cancellations than this time last year. Overall supply is down about 5% in a single month, which is good news for sellers still in the market. Buyers still have more choice than last year, but the market has moved closer to balanced—which typically supports stable pricing.

Demand Is Improving

Mortgage rates are lower than last month, and we can report stronger contract activity. Under contract listings are up 12% year-over-year. At first glance, sales look low compared with last month, but month-to-month comparisons can be distorted by the number of working days. The fairer comparison is November 2024, where closings improved by nearly 5%. Demand is on an upward trend right now, which is welcome news after a disappointing spring and summer.

Pricing Remains Resilient

Pricing remains resilient with no signs left of the weakness we saw during the summer. Average price per square foot is up 1.6% over the last 12 months. That’s not as high as inflation, which means prices are down in “real” terms. Combined with lower interest rates and continued wage growth throughout 2025, affordability is improved compared with December 2024.

My Outlook for Early 2026

With inventory decreasing due to expirations, the market has returned to a more balanced posture. That’s why I expect pricing to remain stable for the remainder of the year. Looking into 2026, we’ve had a December rate cut, and we typically see a seasonal increase in listings in January and February. Spring should be better than last year—but don’t expect it to go gangbusters.

  • Buyers remain wary, hoping for a bigger adjustment in rates and/or pricing because affordability is king.
  • Sellers remain resolute on pricing, especially for well-presented, move-in ready homes.
  • I expect Spring 2026 to be marginally better in sales than Spring 2025, with stable pricing overall.

What Buyers Should Do Now

Buyers should get prequalified and be prepared to shop efficiently. In a stable-price environment, the “wins” usually come from: finding the right home, negotiating smartly, and moving quickly when the one shows up.

What Sellers Should Do Now

Sellers should focus on preparation. Homes that are clean, updated where it counts, and truly move-in ready are the ones that earn top dollar and reduce days on market—especially when buyers are payment-sensitive.

Want a Simple Plan for 2026?

If you're buying or selling in 2026, strategy and preparation matter more than predictions. Here are two helpful resources:

Jonathan Baer
Dominion Group Properties • Designated Broker
Phoenix Metro • Homes, Land & Property Management

Source: Cromford market commentary and ARMLS figures reported for December 1, 2025 compared to December 1, 2024.

Nov. 19, 2025

Carefree, Arizona FAQ

Carefree, Arizona FAQ

Alright — let’s get something out of the way. Carefree, Arizona isn’t just a cute name on a map. It’s a real place where real people live real lives... and occasionally brag about having the biggest sundial in the Southwest. And because I get the same questions about Carefree over and over, I figured it was time to put them all in one spot and save us both a little time. (And you know how I feel about wasting time.)

So whether you’re thinking about buying, selling, or you’re just trying to figure out if this North Valley gem fits your lifestyle, here’s the straightforward version — no fluff, no sales pitch, and zero Zillow mythology. Fair enough?

Carefree Arizona Sundial and Town Center

Start Your Home Search   Meet Jonathan

Good to know: Carefree was envisioned in the 1950s by K.T. Palmer and Tom Darlington; the iconic Carefree Sundial went up in 1959 and still anchors the town’s identity today.

At-a-Glance

Location

Far NE Valley, bordering Cave Creek & North Scottsdale.

Elevation ~2,400 ft
Distance to PHX Airport

~35 driving miles to Phoenix Sky Harbor (PHX).

~45–55 minutes
School District

Cave Creek Unified School District (CCUSD)

Cactus Shadows HS • Sonoran Trails MS

Quick History

Carefree’s story goes back to the 1950s when entrepreneurs K.T. Palmer and Tom Darlington set out to build a community that blended creativity, quiet desert living, and a splash of mid‑century personality. According to the Town of Carefree’s official history, the founders envisioned a place where residents could live close to nature without giving up comfort — a vision that still shapes the town today.

The famous Carefree Sundial, built in 1959, anchors the Town Center and remains one of the largest sundials in the United States. It’s become the unofficial symbol of Carefree — big, bold, and unapologetically unique.

Library

The Desert Foothills Library serves both Carefree and Cave Creek and is one of Arizona’s only nonprofit, privately funded public libraries. It’s more than books — it’s a community hub.

  • Extensive event and lecture calendar
  • Makerspace and tech help
  • Children’s programs and story hours
  • Local history resources
  • Yoga, classes, and lifelong learning workshops

If you want to plug into local life, start with the library — it’s the heartbeat of the community.

Amenities (Banks • Shopping • Dining • Grocery)

Shopping

Carefree offers boutique-style shopping around Town Center — art galleries, specialty shops, gifts, home décor, and Arizona-made goods. For a broader list of options, see Google’s shopping results for Carefree.

  • Carefree Sundial Shops
  • Easy Street boutiques
  • Art galleries and local artisan stores

Dining

Carefree and Cave Creek share a surprisingly vibrant food scene — everything from casual cafés to upscale dining. Find current top-rated options in Google’s Carefree dining listings.

  • Cafés near the Sundial
  • Local wine bars
  • Steakhouses and American dining
  • Southwestern and Arizona-style cuisine

Grocery & Banks

  • Bashas’ — right in the heart of Carefree
  • Safeway — minutes away in Cave Creek
  • Sprouts — short drive toward Scottsdale
  • Wells Fargo — Carefree
  • Chase — nearby in Cave Creek
  • USPS — 100 Easy St, Carefree, AZ 85377

Carefree and Cave Creek share most essential services, making day-to-day errands easy and close to home.

Nov. 14, 2025

Deed Fraud in Arizona and How to Stop It.

Deed Fraud in Arizona and How to Stop It

Deed Fraud in Arizona: How Cyber Thieves Are Stealing Homes (and How to Stop Them)

By Jonathan Baer, Dominion Group Properties


Imagine waking up to find someone else’s name on your home’s deed. Sounds like a bad movie plot, right? Unfortunately, deed fraud is very real — and it’s happening across Arizona, especially in areas like Maricopa, Pinal, Pima, and Yavapai Counties.

What is Deed Fraud?

Deed fraud happens when a cyber thief forges ownership documents and transfers a property’s title to themselves or a fake buyer. Once they record that fake deed, they can take out loans or even sell the property — all without the actual owner’s knowledge. It’s digital theft, Arizona-style.

These scams usually target vacant or mortgage-free properties because no lender is watching the title. Many of these scams go unnoticed until the rightful owner tries to sell — or worse, gets a notice that their “home” has been sold already.

A True (and Terrifying) Example from Scottsdale

Here’s how it plays out: a scammer spots a vacant Scottsdale property owned by out-of-state heirs. They create a fake ID, mimic the seller’s email, and contact a local agent. The home gets listed. The title company does its job, the “seller” e-signs, and at closing — poof — the funds are wired to the scammer’s fake account.

The real family finds out months later when the house is long gone, the proceeds are untraceable, and they’re left hiring attorneys to prove they never sold it. (You can’t make this stuff up.)

How to Protect Your Property in Arizona

The good news? Many Arizona County Recorder’s Offices now offer free Property Fraud Alert programs that notify you whenever a document is recorded under your name.

Register today using your county’s official site:

County Fraud Alert Registration Link
Maricopa County https://recorder.maricopa.gov/MaricopaTitleAlert/Default
Pima County https://pimacountytaz-web.tylerhost.net/web/fraudGuard/disclaimerPage
Pinal County https://acclaim.pinalcountyaz.gov/PublicRecordsNotificationWeb/
Yavapai County https://yavapaicountytaz-recorder.tylerhost.net/recorder/eagleweb/fraudGuardSignup.jsp


Once you sign up, you’ll receive an email alert any time a document is recorded under your name. It’s like having a 24/7 digital watchdog for your title.

County Recorder Contact Information

If you own property elsewhere in Arizona, reach out directly to your county’s Recorder’s Office. They can tell you if they have fraud alert systems or other protection options.

Here’s a quick reference list for every Arizona County Recorder:

Jonathan’s Truth Bomb

Deed fraud isn’t just a big-city problem — it’s happening right here in Arizona. Protect yourself. Spend five minutes registering for your county’s alert system today. Because when it comes to your property title, prior, proper, planning prevents piss poor performance.

Respect all, fear none — but lock your digital doors.

Want help reviewing your property title or ownership risks? Schedule a quick call with me here and let’s make sure you’re protected.

Meet Jonathan Baer, Designated Broker of Dominion Group Properties.
Start your home search here.
See the latest Maricopa County housing trends.